North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
49  George Parsons SO 31:32
80  Sam Parsons SO 31:45
185  Graham Crawford JR 32:07
275  Sebastian Hanson FR 32:24
328  Bakri Abushouk FR 32:32
362  Sam Roberson SO 32:36
487  Patrick Sheehan FR 32:50
595  Nick Link FR 33:01
632  Michael Mansy SR 33:04
738  Craig Engels SO 33:14
749  Alec Thomas FR 33:15
797  Bobby Mintz JR 33:20
1,165  Aaron Thomas FR 33:54
National Rank #23 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #4 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 21.2%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 4.7%


Regional Champion 1.7%
Top 5 in Regional 77.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating George Parsons Sam Parsons Graham Crawford Sebastian Hanson Bakri Abushouk Sam Roberson Patrick Sheehan Nick Link Michael Mansy Craig Engels Alec Thomas
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 761 31:44 32:37 32:18 32:36 32:31 32:48 32:37 33:15
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/17 33:15
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 786 31:46 32:25 32:35 32:41 33:12 32:39 33:35
ACC Championships 10/31 532 31:18 31:19 32:09 32:23 32:24 33:26 33:14
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 671 31:32 31:55 32:37 32:24 32:28 32:49 33:21
NCAA Championship 11/22 31:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 21.2% 24.0 583 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.3 1.8 1.2 1.6 1.2
Region Championship 100% 4.6 134 1.7 5.2 12.1 24.2 34.3 18.6 3.1 0.6 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
George Parsons 92.4% 56.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Graham Crawford 24.0% 124.0 0.0
Sebastian Hanson 21.4% 163.7
Bakri Abushouk 21.2% 184.4
Sam Roberson 21.2% 191.3
Patrick Sheehan 21.2% 215.3
Nick Link 21.2% 229.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
George Parsons 4.1 9.1 13.6 14.2 12.4 8.1 6.6 4.8 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.5 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.5
Graham Crawford 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.6 3.7 4.4 4.2 4.6 4.1 4.6 3.9 4.0 4.1 3.7 3.3 3.4 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.2
Sebastian Hanson 29.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 2.7 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.5 3.1
Bakri Abushouk 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 1.9 2.6 2.6 3.3 2.6
Sam Roberson 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.4
Patrick Sheehan 51.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Nick Link 63.4 0.0 0.0 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.7% 100.0% 1.7 1.7 1
2 5.2% 100.0% 5.2 5.2 2
3 12.1% 52.2% 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.2 5.8 6.3 3
4 24.2% 22.6% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.6 18.7 5.5 4
5 34.3% 7.1% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.8 31.8 2.4 5
6 18.6% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 18.6 0.1 6
7 3.1% 3.1 7
8 0.6% 0.6 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 21.2% 1.7 5.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 2.0 2.9 5.6 78.8 6.9 14.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 90.9% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 3.0
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 6.0